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  • The Role of Variance in Online Poker and How to Handle It

The Role of Variance in Online Poker and How to Handle It

Brandan Bauer January 9, 2025 4 min read
191
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Meta title: Learning to Handle Variance in Online Poker

Meta description: Are things currently going too well or poorly for you in Online Poker? Read about the concept of variance here.

Variance in online poker slightly differs from what you know in slot machines. In the former case, the concept tells you something else — why your current online poker results vary from projected long-term outcomes.

Ever encountered a situation when you won or lost more than foreseen? These circumstances are down to variance. Our review will lean into the concept related to the prism of online poker, so pay close attention to proper understanding.

Let’s dig right in!

Understanding the Concept: Definition & Impact on Online Poker

The concept means the shift in short-term results as opposed to what you should get in the long term. Everyone experiences a bit of online poker variance now and then. It is either the odds swing in your favor or against you.

When you factor in luck, you realize the natural imbalance that could occur in online poker. For instance, in card draws, you can not predict how good of a hand you would get. The dealings ought to be completely random.

Thus, you may be unlucky with the card draw, affecting your winning chances in the short term. Even with a good hand, your opponent can get a better one. However, with time, the impact of instability fizzles, and outcomes will rely on just your skills.

Short-Term vs. Long-Term Variance: Managing Expectations

There are two kinds of variance in online poker. They are:

  • Short-term describes fluctuations in results over a short period. This imbalance is due to the influence of luck. Usually, this type won’t reflect how good or bad you are at online poker. However, you must manage your bankroll effectively to deal with this problem. Also, you must be emotionally mature — you can not afford to start chasing losses.
  • Long-term happens over an extended period. Eventually, skill will become the prevalent winning factor. But at this point, you have to readjust your strategy. You have to make the right and best decisions and be consistent with them.

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Once you are able to adjust well from short-term to long-term types, your chances of winning will become significantly better. But how can you adjust? One of the most convenient and easy ways is by using relevant bonuses. For example, Winamax casino offers to top your balance with €250 for your poker play, which is just impressive!

The Psychological Impact of Variance

The instability will test you — it will now be down to how mentally strong you can be. The psychological impacts can be so weary.

For instance, it could get frustrating after a streak of losses. You may begin to doubt the game itself or, worse still, how good your poker skills are. This frustration would lead to mounting stress, making you act in ways that jeopardize your bankroll.

However, if you wish to stay mentally strong, as you should, you must be ready. These are some working strategies:

  • Prepare yourself in anticipation of the instability to come.
  • Focus on your present circumstance and not your previous results.
  • Be realistic with yourself — limit expectations.
  • Manage your emotions well and never be subdued into chasing losses.
  • Take breaks to avoid burnout or mental breakdown.
  • Take time to review and reflect, give some self-criticism, and come back stronger — yes, you will!

Bankroll Management: The Key to Surviving

Managing a preset budget can be daunting, but it is necessary during variance survival to keep afloat. Let’s examine some of the bankroll management techniques that could work when dealing with negative instability:

  • Know when to adjust your wagers. When you are down on luck, switch to smaller stakes.
  • Have a bankroll buffer. This amount is the extra you keep apart to cushion your losses if they keep mounting.
  • Set time limits. It is easy to get carried away. Know when to stop to avoid damaging your bankroll potency.
  • Do not chase losses!

Adjusting Your Playstyle

You can not afford not to adjust your play style when experiencing negative impacts. One of the ways to adjust is by focusing primarily on stronger hands. You should also avoid aggressive plays as best as you can.

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Likewise, smaller bets are necessary at this point to avoid burning through your accounts quicker than necessary. Also, you have to level up your ability to read your opponents. You will need all the help you can get.

Learning from Variance

There is performance-tracking software you can leverage to review past sessions. With them, you can analyze hand histories and result patterns better. So, when you next play, you can adjust and make corrections based on data-backed insights.

About The Author

Brandan Bauer

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